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Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongchang United

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Geumsan Insam play Pyeongchang United in the K4 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Geumsan Insam averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Pyeongchang United averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Geumsan Insam won 1, Pyeongchang United won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Geumsan Insam and 1.25 for Pyeongchang United. This points to a Geumsan Insam double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Geumsan Insam
18%
Draws
35%
Pyeongchang United
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Geumsan Insam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Geumsan Insam picked up more points recently compared to Pyeongchang United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 19%
Pyeongchang United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geumsan Insam Pyeongchang United
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.56 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 K4 League
Pyeongchang United vs Geumsan Insam
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 K4 League
Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongchang United
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geumsan Insam 46 / 100
Pyeongchang United 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geumsan Insam Pyeongchang United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Geumsan Insam or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Geumsan Insam attacking → ← attacking Pyeongchang United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geumsan Insam scored in 69% of their last 16 games.

Pyeongchang United let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Geumsan Insam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pyeongchang United lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 38
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369