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Gevora vs CD Badajoz

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Barba J.
34' Event
Sanchez J.
64' Event
Alegria A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Gevora and CD Badajoz finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Gevora
17%
Draws
70%
CD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Badajoz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Badajoz a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gevora Clean Sheet 10%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gevora CD Badajoz
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 24
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.13 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Gevora
3:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs CD Badajoz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gevora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Barba J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gevora 14 / 100
CD Badajoz 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gevora CD Badajoz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gevora found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gevora stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CD Badajoz has conceded goals in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gevora VS CD Badajoz
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gevora

(Home)
10 May
CD Badajoz
3 : 0
Gevora
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
Gevora
2 : 1
Moralo
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
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CD Badajoz

(Away)
20 Jun
CD Cuarte
1 : 1
CD Badajoz
14 Jun
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)