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Gevora vs CD Calamonte

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Bachuri J.

AI Match Summary

Gevora in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gevora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gevora
20%
Draws
10%
CD Calamonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gevora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gevora lately — more wins on the board than CD Calamonte.
  • Win probability leans Gevora's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gevora Clean Sheet 68%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gevora CD Calamonte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.97 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs CD Calamonte
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Gevora
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gevora Compare

Top Goalscorer Bachuri J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CD Calamonte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gevora 86 / 100
CD Calamonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gevora CD Calamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gevora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Calamonte conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Gevora found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Gevora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: CD Calamonte registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gevora VS CD Calamonte
0.88 Goals Scored 0.71
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Gevora

(Home)
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
08 Aug
Cacereno
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

CD Calamonte

(Away)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)