Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gevora vs Montijo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Maya Vivas A.
50' Event
Reyes E.
83' Event
Essamay Diedhiou B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Gevora and Montijo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montijo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gevora
39%
Draws
30%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Montijo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Gevora Clean Sheet 14%
Montijo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gevora Montijo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Gevora
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs Montijo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gevora Compare

Top Goalscorer Maya Vivas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Montijo Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Essamay Diedhiou B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gevora 31 / 100
Montijo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gevora Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gevora found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Montijo conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Gevora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gevora VS Montijo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gevora

(Home)
10 May
CD Badajoz
3 : 0
Gevora
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
Gevora
2 : 1
Moralo
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

Montijo

(Away)
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Montijo
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)