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Gevora vs UP Plasencia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bajo A.
25' Event
Der Jachadurian B.
44' Event
Gonzalez Robles C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Gevora and UP Plasencia finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gevora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Gevora
30%
Draws
16%
UP Plasencia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gevora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Gevora have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — UP Plasencia are scoring more at 1.03.
  • Model gives Gevora a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gevora Clean Sheet 20%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gevora UP Plasencia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.36 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs UP Plasencia
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gevora Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Robles C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Der Jachadurian B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.68

UP Plasencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajo A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gevora 58 / 100
UP Plasencia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gevora UP Plasencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gevora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Gevora scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

UP Plasencia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Gevora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gevora VS UP Plasencia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.4
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Gevora

(Home)
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
08 Aug
Cacereno
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

UP Plasencia

(Away)
27 Sept
Castuera
1 : 0
UP Plasencia
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Moralo 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
6 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
7 Gevora 4 2 1 1 7:8 7
8 Santa Amalia 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
9 Villanovense 4 2 0 2 4:3 6
10 Cabeza del Buey 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
11 Jaraiz 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
12 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
14 SP Villafranca 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
15 Montijo 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
16 Pueblonuevo 4 0 2 2 5:10 2
17 Guadiana 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
18 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)