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GFC Ajaccio vs Lens II

France France

National 2 - Group B 2020/2021 Stade Ange-Casanova
Sat, Apr 24, 2021
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GFC Ajaccio play Lens II in the National 2 - Group B 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, GFC Ajaccio averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Lens II averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, GFC Ajaccio won 0, Lens II won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 24, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for GFC Ajaccio and 1.31 for Lens II. This points to a GFC Ajaccio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
GFC Ajaccio
33%
Draws
26%
Lens II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: GFC Ajaccio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • GFC Ajaccio picked up more points recently compared to Lens II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
GFC Ajaccio Clean Sheet 18%
Lens II Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GFC Ajaccio Lens II
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 0 13
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2021 National 2 - Group B
GFC Ajaccio vs Lens II
0:0
Mar 27, 2021 National 2 - Group B
Lens II vs GFC Ajaccio
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GFC Ajaccio 41 / 100
Lens II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GFC Ajaccio Lens II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: GFC Ajaccio or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

GFC Ajaccio attacking → ← attacking Lens II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GFC Ajaccio scored in 100% of their last 8 games.

Lens II let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

GFC Ajaccio went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lens II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 28
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13