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GFK Yalta vs Kyzyltash

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2025 Sports Center Skif, Novopavlovka
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Match Events

4' Event
Yunusov K.
26' Event
Sitnikov D.
48' Event
Podluzhnyi M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) 2025 game between GFK Yalta and Kyzyltash finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kyzyltash.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
GFK Yalta
15%
Draws
31%
Kyzyltash
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GFK Yalta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • GFK Yalta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on GFK Yalta taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kyzyltash here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
GFK Yalta Clean Sheet 12%
Kyzyltash Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GFK Yalta Kyzyltash
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.55 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs Kyzyltash
4:5
Sep 7, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Kyzyltash vs GFK Yalta
2:0
Jun 7, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs Kyzyltash
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Kyzyltash vs GFK Yalta
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs Kyzyltash
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GFK Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Podluzhnyi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Apozian A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Kyzyltash Compare

Top Goalscorer Yunusov K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sitnikov D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GFK Yalta 83 / 100
Kyzyltash 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GFK Yalta Kyzyltash

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GFK Yalta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

GFK Yalta's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kyzyltash conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: GFK Yalta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GFK Yalta VS Kyzyltash
3 Goals Scored 2
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.75
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

GFK Yalta

(Home)
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
Feodosiya
3 : 6
GFK Yalta
30 Aug
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
MAK
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
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Kyzyltash

(Away)
26 Sept
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
3 : 1
Kyzyltash
12 Sept
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Rubin Yalta
05 Sept
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
Kyzyltash
29 Aug
Kyzyltash
3 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
22 Aug
Maykop
1 : 1
Kyzyltash
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