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GFK Yalta vs Ocean Kerch

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2025 Sports Center Skif, Novopavlovka
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Gagloev B.
14' Event
Lysymenko N.
(Penalty)
17'
Krasov D.

AI Match Summary

Ocean Kerch in this Premier League (Crimea) 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ocean Kerch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
GFK Yalta
15%
Draws
5%
Ocean Kerch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GFK Yalta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • GFK Yalta have won more games recently than Ocean Kerch.
  • GFK Yalta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
GFK Yalta Clean Sheet 20%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GFK Yalta Ocean Kerch
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.43 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs Ocean Kerch
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs GFK Yalta
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs GFK Yalta
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs Ocean Kerch
0:4
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs GFK Yalta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GFK Yalta Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Ocean Kerch Compare

Top Goalscorer Gagloev B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maximov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GFK Yalta 85 / 100
Ocean Kerch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GFK Yalta Ocean Kerch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: GFK Yalta stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

GFK Yalta's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ocean Kerch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

GFK Yalta VS Ocean Kerch
3 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GFK Yalta

(Home)
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
Zarechnoye
06 Jun
GFK Yalta
3 : 1
Ocean Kerch
31 May
GFK Yalta
3 : 2
TSK Simferopol
24 May
GFK Yalta
6 : 0
Feodosiya
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Ocean Kerch

(Away)
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
06 Jun
GFK Yalta
3 : 1
Ocean Kerch
24 May
Ocean Kerch
0 : 4
TSK Simferopol
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