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Ghana U23 vs D.R. Congo U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Tue, Mar 28, 2023
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023. Form suggests where the edge lies here. D.R. Congo U23 have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while Ghana U23 have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Ghana U23 have won 0 to D.R. Congo U23's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.76) point toward Ghana U23. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ghana U23
20%
Draws
22%
D.R. Congo U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ghana U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • D.R. Congo U23 haven't matched Ghana U23's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Ghana U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ghana U23 Clean Sheet 20%
D.R. Congo U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghana U23 D.R. Congo U23
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 11 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.39 0.58
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Ghana U23 vs D.R. Congo U23
0:0
Mar 24, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
D.R. Congo U23 vs Ghana U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghana U23 31 / 100
D.R. Congo U23 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghana U23 D.R. Congo U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghana U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghana U23 scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

D.R. Congo U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.

Solid form: Ghana U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

D.R. Congo U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ghana U23 VS D.R. Congo U23
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghana U23

(Home)
30 Jun
Guinea U23
1 : 1
Ghana U23
27 Jun
Morocco U23
5 : 1
Ghana U23
25 Jun
Ghana U23
3 : 2
Congo U23
15 Jun
Egypt U23
1 : 1
Ghana U23
28 Mar
Ghana U23
1 : 0
Algeria U23
Page 1 of 6

D.R. Congo U23

(Away)
28 Sept
Mauritania U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
30 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
27 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
30 Oct
Algeria U23
3 : 1
D.R. Congo U23
23 Oct
D.R. Congo U23
4 : 1
Algeria U23
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1