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Gharghur vs Melita

Malta Malta

Division 1 2016/2017
Gharghur Logo

Gharghur

0 - 2
FT
Melita Logo

Melita

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2016/2017 game between Gharghur and Melita finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gharghur
15%
Draws
34%
Melita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gharghur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melita come out ahead of Gharghur on wins alone.
  • Melita are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gharghur Clean Sheet 17%
Melita Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gharghur Melita
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2017 Challenge League
Gharghur vs Melita
0:2
Nov 4, 2016 Challenge League
Melita vs Gharghur
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gharghur 23 / 100
Melita 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gharghur Melita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gharghur scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Melita conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gharghur went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Melita
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gharghur

(Home)
26 Oct
Rabat Ajax
4 : 1
Gharghur
14 Sept
Sannat Lions
0 : 1
Gharghur
27 Oct
Marsa
5 : 1
Gharghur
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1
Xaghra
02 Sept
Qala Saints
1 : 3
Gharghur
Page 1 of 6

Melita

(Away)
19 Sept
Melita
1 : 2
Mgarr
13 Sept
Gudja
0 : 3
Melita
03 May
Melita
0 : 3
Birzebbuga
25 Apr
Melita
3 : 1
Xewkija
19 Apr
Balzan FC
2 : 0
Melita
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lija 26 16 6 4 63:34 54
2 Senglea 26 16 5 5 57:21 53
3 Naxxar Lions 26 16 3 7 57:37 51
4 Qormi 26 13 7 6 36:26 46
5 Mqabba FC 26 13 5 8 39:32 44
6 Pieta 26 13 2 11 48:38 41
7 Vittoriosa 26 12 4 10 50:37 40
8 Sirens 26 10 4 12 40:44 34
9 Melita 26 8 7 11 29:39 31
10 Zebbug 26 8 6 12 40:47 30
11 Rabat Ajax 26 7 6 13 33:54 27
12 Marsa 26 7 4 15 35:49 25
13 Gharghur 26 4 6 16 30:65 18
14 Fgura 26 3 7 16 20:54 16
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)