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Gharghur vs Pieta

Malta Malta

Division 1 2016/2017
Gharghur Logo

Gharghur

2 - 5
FT
Pieta Logo

Pieta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2016/2017 game between Gharghur and Pieta finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pieta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gharghur
15%
Draws
45%
Pieta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Gharghur haven't matched Pieta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pieta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Gharghur Clean Sheet 12%
Pieta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gharghur Pieta
Matches Played 31 40
Wins 7 24
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.39 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2017 Challenge League
Gharghur vs Pieta
2:5
Sep 24, 2016 Challenge League
Pieta vs Gharghur
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gharghur 10 / 100
Pieta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gharghur Pieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pieta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Gharghur scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Pieta conceded in 70% of 40 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gharghur stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pieta
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gharghur

(Home)
26 Oct
Rabat Ajax
4 : 1
Gharghur
14 Sept
Sannat Lions
0 : 1
Gharghur
27 Oct
Marsa
5 : 1
Gharghur
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1
Xaghra
02 Sept
Qala Saints
1 : 3
Gharghur
Page 1 of 7

Pieta

(Away)
18 Sept
Swieqi
3 : 2
Pieta
12 Sept
Pieta
3 : 2
Naxxar Lions
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
12 Apr
Sirens
3 : 4
Pieta
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lija 26 16 6 4 63:34 54
2 Senglea 26 16 5 5 57:21 53
3 Naxxar Lions 26 16 3 7 57:37 51
4 Qormi 26 13 7 6 36:26 46
5 Mqabba FC 26 13 5 8 39:32 44
6 Pieta 26 13 2 11 48:38 41
7 Vittoriosa 26 12 4 10 50:37 40
8 Sirens 26 10 4 12 40:44 34
9 Melita 26 8 7 11 29:39 31
10 Zebbug 26 8 6 12 40:47 30
11 Rabat Ajax 26 7 6 13 33:54 27
12 Marsa 26 7 4 15 35:49 25
13 Gharghur 26 4 6 16 30:65 18
14 Fgura 26 3 7 16 20:54 16
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)