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Gharghur vs Xaghra Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Zammit C.
42' Event
Camilleri J.
75' Event
Zammit C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Gharghur advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gharghur
15%
Draws
0%
Xaghra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gharghur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Xaghra haven't matched Gharghur's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gharghur's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Gharghur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gharghur, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gharghur Clean Sheet 10%
Xaghra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gharghur Xaghra
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 0
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.58 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2018 FA Trophy
Gharghur vs Xaghra
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gharghur Compare

Top Goalscorer Zammit C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tasic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Xaghra Compare

Top Goalscorer Camilleri J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gharghur 83 / 100
Xaghra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gharghur Xaghra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gharghur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Xaghra conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Xaghra lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Gharghur scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gharghur VS Xaghra
2 Goals Scored 1.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gharghur

(Home)
26 Oct
Rabat Ajax
4 : 1
Gharghur
14 Sept
Sannat Lions
0 : 1
Gharghur
27 Oct
Marsa
5 : 1
Gharghur
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1
Xaghra
02 Sept
Qala Saints
1 : 3
Gharghur
Page 1 of 7

Xaghra

(Away)
18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2
Xaghra
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1
Xaghra
10 Jan
Xaghra
1 : 5
Victoria Hotspurs
13 Dec
Msida
5 : 1
Xaghra
03 Mar
Xaghra
0 : 6
Hamrun
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
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Sannat Lions 2
Xbiex 0
Marsaskala FC 0
Dingli Swallows 4
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Qrendi -
Gudja -
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Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
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Ghajnsielem 8
Oratory 0
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Xewkija -
Zebbug -
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Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
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Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
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Kercem Ajax -
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Kirkop -
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Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
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Senglea -
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Sliema -
Hamrun -
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Floriana -
Nadur 4
Munxar 0
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Zurrieq -
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Zabbar -
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Birkirkara -
Gzira -
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Luqa -
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Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
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TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
Msida 0
Victoria Hotspurs 8
Swieqi -
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Melita -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
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Pembroke -
Mdina -
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Zebbug Rovers -
Xghajra -
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Gharb -
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Pieta -
Hibernians -
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Qormi -
San Gwann -
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Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 2
St. Lawrence 0
Mtarfa 0
Victoria Wanderers 10
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Fgura -
Lija -
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St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
TBD -
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Mellieha -
Marsa -
TBD -
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Xaghra -
TBD -
Qala Saints 1
Gharghur 3
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Valletta -
1/64-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 2
Dingli Swallows 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 0
Xewkija 2
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 1
Kirkop 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
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Senglea -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
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Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
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Floriana -
Nadur 4
Zurrieq 0
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Zabbar -
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Birkirkara -
Gzira -
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Luqa -
TBD -
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Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
Attard 1
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Swieqi -
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TBD -
Melita -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
TBD -
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Pembroke -
Mdina 1
Zebbug Rovers 0
Xghajra 1
Gharb 2
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Pieta -
Hibernians -
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Qormi -
San Gwann -
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Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 1
Victoria Wanderers 0
TBD -
Fgura -
Lija -
TBD -
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St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
TBD -
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Mellieha -
Marsa -
TBD -
Xaghra 1
Gharghur 3
TBD -
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TBD -
Valletta -
1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Qrendi 3
Gudja 2
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 1
Xewkija 6
Zebbug 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Santa Lucia 2
Birzebbuga 3
Vittoriosa 2
Kirkop 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 7
Zabbar 0
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
Luqa 0
Rabat Ajax 5
Siggiewi 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Swieqi 0
Melita 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
St. Venera 0
Pembroke 3
Mdina 2
Gharb 1
TBD -
Pieta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
San Gwann 2
Mgarr 1
Ghaxaq 1
Fgura 4
Lija 4
St. George's FC 0
Kalkara 0
Mellieha 2
Marsa 5
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Valletta -
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 5
Qrendi 1
Gudja 1
Xewkija 2
Zebbug 5
Birzebbuga 0
Vittoriosa 0
Tarxien 3
Mosta FC 3
Senglea 2
St. Andrews 0
Sliema 2
Hamrun 1
Floriana 0
Nadur 0
Birkirkara 4
Gzira 4
Rabat Ajax 0
Siggiewi 1
Melita 3
Zejtun 2
Pembroke 0
Mdina 1
Pieta 4
Hibernians 5
Qormi 1
San Gwann 0
Fgura 1
Lija 5
Mellieha 0
Marsa 0
Valletta 3
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 6
Xewkija 1
Zebbug 0
Tarxien 5
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 1
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 4
Melita 2
Zejtun 0
Pieta 2
Hibernians 4
Fgura 0
Lija 1
Valletta 7
Quarter-finals
Balzan FC 2
Tarxien 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 2
Pieta 1
Hibernians 2
Valletta 3
Semi-finals
Balzan FC 3
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 0
Valletta 2
Final
Balzan FC 5
Valletta 4