Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Marsa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ghaxaq
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Marsa come out ahead of Ghaxaq on wins alone.
- Model gives Ghaxaq a 36% chance of winning this.
- Marsa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Marsa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ghaxaq Clean Sheet 20%
Marsa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ghaxaq | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.83 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2012 FA Trophy
Ghaxaq vs Marsa
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ghaxaq 36 / 100
Marsa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ghaxaq Marsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marsa has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.
Ghaxaq scored in 75% of their last 12 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Ghaxaq went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Marsa
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ghaxaq
(Home) 26 Oct
Mgarr
5 : 1 Ghaxaq
14 Sept
Mtarfa
0 : 2 Ghaxaq
07 Sept
Ghaxaq
4 : 1 Zebbug Rovers
28 Oct
Fgura
4 : 1 Ghaxaq
09 Sept
Victoria Wanderers
0 : 1 Ghaxaq
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07 Sept
Ghaxaq
4 : 1 Zebbug Rovers
22 Oct
Ghaxaq
0 : 4 Nadur
12 Sept
Ghaxaq
1 : 2 Marsaxlokk
08 Sept
Ghaxaq
1 : 2 Marsa
Marsa
(Away) 18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1 Marsa
11 Apr
Marsa
5 : 0 Mtarfa
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1 Marsa
14 Mar
Santa Lucia
0 : 1 Marsa
08 Mar
Marsa
3 : 3 Gudja
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18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1 Marsa
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1 Marsa
14 Mar
Santa Lucia
0 : 1 Marsa
08 Feb
Vittoriosa
1 : 1 Marsa
11 Jan
Melita
3 : 2 Marsa
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija 5
Qala Saints 0
TBD -
Pembroke -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
Attard 1
Sirens 3
Mgarr -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Victoria Wanderers 3
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gharghur -
TBD -
Xghajra 0
Mtarfa 5
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Gharb 1
Nadur 8
Sannat Lions 2
Kalkara 0
Mdina 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 2
Ghaxaq 1
TBD -
Zabbar -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
St. Venera -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Xaghra 2
Luqa 4
Qrendi 1
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Munxar 1
Xbiex 2
Kercem Ajax 4
Ghajnsielem 2
St. Lawrence 0
Senglea 2
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/32-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Pembroke 3
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira 1
Sirens 0
Mgarr 1
Victoria Wanderers 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Dingli Swallows 1
TBD -
Balzan FC -
St. Andrews 2
Birzebbuga 0
Vittoriosa 1
Msida 2
Zurrieq 4
Fgura 0
Kirkop 0
Mqabba FC 3
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gharghur 4
Mtarfa 1
Siggiewi 1
Lija 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zejtun 3
San Gwann 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Nadur 1
Sannat Lions 6
Swieqi 1
Marsa 1
Zabbar 2
Pieta 1
St. George's FC 0
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Zebbug 3
Mellieha 0
TBD -
Sliema -
St. Venera 3
Xaghra 2
Luqa 1
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja 6
Xbiex 0
Kercem Ajax 1
Senglea 2
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/16-finals
Qormi 5
Pembroke 2
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 1
Victoria Wanderers 0
Naxxar Lions 3
Balzan FC 4
St. Andrews 2
Msida 0
Zurrieq 1
Mqabba FC 2
Floriana 2
Melita 0
Gharghur 1
Lija 2
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Zejtun 1
Nadur 3
Sannat Lions 2
Zabbar 1
Pieta 0
Rabat Ajax 1
Zebbug 2
Sliema 1
St. Venera 1
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Hibernians 2
1/8-finals
Qormi 2
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Balzan FC 3
St. Andrews 4
Mqabba FC 1
Floriana 0
Lija 1
Valletta 2
Nadur 0
Sannat Lions 0
Rabat Ajax 5
Zebbug 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Gudja 0
Hibernians 4
Quarter-finals
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 0
St. Andrews 0
Lija 1
Valletta 3
Rabat Ajax 0
Zebbug 0
Hibernians 3
Semi-finals
Qormi 1
Lija 0
Valletta 2
Hibernians 3
Final
Qormi 1
Hibernians 3
