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Ghaxaq vs Marsaxlokk Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2015/2016
Sat, Sep 12, 2015
1 - 2
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Marsaxlokk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ghaxaq
15%
Draws
45%
Marsaxlokk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsaxlokk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Marsaxlokk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ghaxaq are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Marsaxlokk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marsaxlokk, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ghaxaq Clean Sheet 17%
Marsaxlokk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghaxaq Marsaxlokk
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 0 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2015 FA Trophy
Ghaxaq vs Marsaxlokk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghaxaq 36 / 100
Marsaxlokk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghaxaq Marsaxlokk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marsaxlokk has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Ghaxaq scored in 75% of their last 12 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ghaxaq has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marsaxlokk
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghaxaq

(Home)
26 Oct
Mgarr
5 : 1
Ghaxaq
14 Sept
Mtarfa
0 : 2
Ghaxaq
07 Sept
Ghaxaq
4 : 1
Zebbug Rovers
28 Oct
Fgura
4 : 1
Ghaxaq
09 Sept
Victoria Wanderers
0 : 1
Ghaxaq
Page 1 of 3

Marsaxlokk

(Away)
18 Sept
Hamrun
4 : 1
Marsaxlokk
12 Sept
Floriana
2 : 5
Marsaxlokk
05 Sept
Marsaxlokk
1 : 1
Mosta FC
28 Aug
Valletta
1 : 2
Marsaxlokk
21 Aug
Marsaxlokk
1 : 0
Hibernians
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Nadur -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Oratory 5
Marsaskala FC 1
TBD -
St. Lawrence -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar -
Xghajra -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
1/64-finals
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 6
Kalkara 0
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
St. Venera 5
Xaghra 3
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Nadur 1
Mdina 0
TBD -
Zabbar -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Gharb 0
Xbiex 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 3
Attard 1
Oratory 0
St. Lawrence 1
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
Luqa 0
Xewkija 4
Kirkop -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Mtarfa 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 2
Munxar 0
Xghajra 0
Ghajnsielem 1
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Marsaxlokk 2
Ghaxaq 1
TBD -
Zejtun -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
Qala Saints 0
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
1/32-finals
Sliema -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 0
Vittoriosa 2
St. Venera 2
Birzebbuga 1
Zurrieq 1
Gharghur 2
Gzira 6
Sirens 0
Nadur 1
Zabbar 6
Swieqi 2
Xbiex 1
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Floriana -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 2
St. Lawrence 4
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
Mellieha 1
Lija 2
Valletta -
TBD -
Marsa 2
Xewkija 4
Kirkop 3
Mtarfa 2
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Siggiewi 0
Fgura 3
Rabat Ajax 4
Msida 1
Mgarr 1
Melita 3
Qormi -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 1
Ghajnsielem 2
Zebbug 4
Qrendi 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Pieta 2
Senglea 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zejtun 1
Mqabba FC 5
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Hamrun 0
St. George's FC 1
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
San Gwann 1
Gudja 0
TBD -
Pembroke -
1/16-finals
Sliema 1
Vittoriosa 0
St. Venera 0
Gharghur 2
Gzira 3
Zabbar 0
Swieqi 2
St. Andrews 4
Floriana 3
St. Lawrence 0
Naxxar Lions 0
Lija 1
Valletta 3
Xewkija 1
Kirkop 0
Birkirkara 6
Balzan FC 2
Fgura 1
Rabat Ajax 1
Melita 4
Qormi 1
Ghajnsielem 0
Zebbug 1
Tarxien 4
Pieta 4
Zejtun 1
Mqabba FC 0
St. George's FC 1
Hibernians 2
Mosta FC 1
San Gwann 0
Pembroke 3
1/8-finals
Sliema 2
Gharghur 1
Gzira 1
St. Andrews 2
Floriana 2
Lija 1
Valletta 0
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 2
Melita 0
Qormi 1
Tarxien 4
Pieta 3
St. George's FC 2
Hibernians 1
Pembroke 2
Quarter-finals
Sliema 2
St. Andrews 1
Floriana 0
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 1
Tarxien 0
Pieta 1
Pembroke 3
Semi-finals
Sliema 1
Birkirkara 0
Balzan FC 3
Pembroke 1
Final
Sliema 1
Balzan FC 0