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Ghaxaq vs Nadur Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nadur in this FA Trophy 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ghaxaq
15%
Draws
21%
Nadur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ghaxaq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Nadur have won more games recently than Ghaxaq.
  • Ghaxaq are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Nadur arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nadur, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ghaxaq Clean Sheet 10%
Nadur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghaxaq Nadur
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 4 17
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.25 2.58
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2016 FA Trophy
Ghaxaq vs Nadur
0:4
Sep 8, 2013 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Ghaxaq
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghaxaq 83 / 100
Nadur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghaxaq Nadur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghaxaq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ghaxaq scored in 75% of their last 12 outings.

Nadur has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Ghaxaq stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ghaxaq VS Nadur
2 Goals Scored 3.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghaxaq

(Home)
26 Oct
Mgarr
5 : 1
Ghaxaq
14 Sept
Mtarfa
0 : 2
Ghaxaq
07 Sept
Ghaxaq
4 : 1
Zebbug Rovers
28 Oct
Fgura
4 : 1
Ghaxaq
09 Sept
Victoria Wanderers
0 : 1
Ghaxaq
Page 1 of 3

Nadur

(Away)
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0
Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4
Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1
Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2
Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb 2
Xghajra 1
TBD -
Nadur -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Munxar -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
St. Lawrence -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Oratory -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/64-finals
Victoria Wanderers 3
St. Venera 0
TBD -
Melita -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi -
TBD -
Qala Saints 0
Xewkija 6
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
Gharb 1
Nadur 7
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Msida 1
Luqa 0
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem 3
Kalkara 2
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
Mdina 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar 2
Xbiex 0
TBD -
Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 0
Kirkop 4
St. Lawrence 3
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Xaghra 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 0
Oratory 5
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/32-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Melita 1
Zabbar 1
Mgarr 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa 4
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi 1
Xewkija 4
Sirens 2
Rabat Ajax 1
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Nadur 4
Siggiewi 3
St. George's FC 2
Msida 0
Mqabba FC 1
Ghajnsielem 4
Naxxar Lions 1
Zejtun 1
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 3
Mellieha 2
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
Munxar 0
Gharghur 8
Pieta 1
Kirkop 0
St. Lawrence 0
Lija 5
Valletta -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
San Gwann 4
Zebbug 2
Fgura 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea 7
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
Attard 1
Vittoriosa 5
Qrendi 2
Oratory 1
Gudja 0
Swieqi 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/16-finals
Victoria Wanderers 5
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 0
St. Andrews 3
Marsa 3
Xewkija 2
Sirens 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 2
Nadur 0
Siggiewi 0
Mqabba FC 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 0
Floriana 5
Tarxien 6
Gharghur 0
Pieta 0
Lija 2
Valletta 1
San Gwann 0
Zebbug 1
Balzan FC 3
Senglea 3
Hibernians 2
Gzira 2
Vittoriosa 3
Qrendi 1
Swieqi 0
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
1/8-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
St. Andrews 0
Marsa 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 1
Mqabba FC 0
Ghajnsielem 1
Floriana 4
Tarxien 3
Lija 0
Valletta 0
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 2
Vittoriosa 1
Qrendi 0
Sliema 5
Quarter-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Pembroke 0
Hamrun 0
Floriana 2
Tarxien 2
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 0
Sliema 1
Semi-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
Floriana 3
Tarxien 0
Sliema 3
Final
Floriana 2
Sliema 0