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Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Golan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Ndiaye I.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Ghaz Al Shamal and Al Golan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Golan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ghaz Al Shamal
35%
Draws
43%
Al Golan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Golan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ghaz Al Shamal haven't matched Al Golan's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Ghaz Al Shamal Clean Sheet 20%
Al Golan Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghaz Al Shamal Al Golan
Matches Played 9 9
Wins 1 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 0.44 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.78 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Stars League
Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Golan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghaz Al Shamal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Al Golan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghaz Al Shamal 32 / 100
Al Golan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghaz Al Shamal Al Golan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ghaz Al Shamal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ghaz Al Shamal found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (9 games).

Al Golan has conceded goals in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ghaz Al Shamal VS Al Golan
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghaz Al Shamal

(Home)
10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1
Al Golan
Page 1 of 2

Al Golan

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0
Al Golan
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1
Al Golan
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 9 7 2 0 17:7 23
2 Newroz 9 5 3 1 14:4 18
3 Al Zawraa 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Erbil 9 5 3 1 13:4 18
5 Al Naft 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
6 Al Shorta 9 4 4 1 9:4 16
7 Duhok 9 2 6 1 14:11 12
8 Al Minaa 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
9 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 2 5 2 14:12 11
10 Al Golan 9 2 5 2 8:9 11
11 Diyala 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
12 Zakho 9 2 3 4 7:12 9
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 9 1 5 3 4:7 8
14 Al Kahraba 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
15 Al Talaba 9 1 5 3 9:14 8
16 Naft Missan 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
17 Al Mosul 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
18 Al Karkh 9 2 1 6 12:17 7
19 Al Gharraf 9 1 3 5 4:12 6
20 Karbala 9 1 3 5 6:15 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)