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Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahraba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Acquah R.
Assist: Aiad A.
52' Event
Abbas R.
Assist: Esso J.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Ghaz Al Shamal and Al Kahraba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ghaz Al Shamal
35%
Draws
41%
Al Kahraba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Kahraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Kahraba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ghaz Al Shamal a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ghaz Al Shamal Clean Sheet 20%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghaz Al Shamal Al Kahraba
Matches Played 9 28
Wins 1 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 0.44 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Stars League
Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahraba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghaz Al Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Abbas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Kahraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Acquah R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghaz Al Shamal 36 / 100
Al Kahraba 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghaz Al Shamal Al Kahraba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Kahraba conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ghaz Al Shamal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ghaz Al Shamal scored in 44% of their last 9 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ghaz Al Shamal VS Al Kahraba
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghaz Al Shamal

(Home)
10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1
Al Golan
Page 1 of 2

Al Kahraba

(Away)
10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Karbala
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 9 7 2 0 17:7 23
2 Newroz 9 5 3 1 14:4 18
3 Al Zawraa 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Erbil 9 5 3 1 13:4 18
5 Al Naft 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
6 Al Shorta 9 4 4 1 9:4 16
7 Duhok 9 2 6 1 14:11 12
8 Al Minaa 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
9 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 2 5 2 14:12 11
10 Al Golan 9 2 5 2 8:9 11
11 Diyala 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
12 Zakho 9 2 3 4 7:12 9
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 9 1 5 3 4:7 8
14 Al Kahraba 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
15 Al Talaba 9 1 5 3 9:14 8
16 Naft Missan 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
17 Al Mosul 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
18 Al Karkh 9 2 1 6 12:17 7
19 Al Gharraf 9 1 3 5 4:12 6
20 Karbala 9 1 3 5 6:15 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)