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Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Karkh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ghaz Al Shamal host Al Karkh in the Stars League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Karkh have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Ghaz Al Shamal have conceded 0.77 and scored 0.69. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.13) point toward Ghaz Al Shamal. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ghaz Al Shamal
35%
Draws
25%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ghaz Al Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ghaz Al Shamal haven't matched Al Karkh's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ghaz Al Shamal's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ghaz Al Shamal Clean Sheet 20%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghaz Al Shamal Al Karkh
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 0.69 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghaz Al Shamal 42 / 100
Al Karkh 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghaz Al Shamal Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karkh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Ghaz Al Shamal's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Ghaz Al Shamal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Al Karkh registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ghaz Al Shamal VS Al Karkh
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
25% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghaz Al Shamal

(Home)
06 Nov
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Ghaz Al Shamal
30 Oct
Erbil
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
25 Oct
Ghaz Al Shamal
1 : 0
Naft Missan
18 Oct
Ghaz Al Shamal
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 3

Al Karkh

(Away)
07 Nov
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Karkh
31 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
23 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 1
Al Mosul
18 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Karkh
10 Oct
Al Karma
3 : 2
Al Karkh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)