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Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawraa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ghaz Al Shamal host Al Zawraa in the Stars League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Al Zawraa have shipped 0.77 goals a game lately, while Ghaz Al Shamal have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.5. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.50 xG vs 1.06) point toward Al Zawraa. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ghaz Al Shamal
35%
Draws
44%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Zawraa come out ahead of Ghaz Al Shamal on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Zawraa's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ghaz Al Shamal Clean Sheet 20%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghaz Al Shamal Al Zawraa
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 1 15
Draws 5 11
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 0.5 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghaz Al Shamal 16 / 100
Al Zawraa 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghaz Al Shamal Al Zawraa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ghaz Al Shamal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ghaz Al Shamal scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Al Zawraa let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ghaz Al Shamal VS Al Zawraa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghaz Al Shamal

(Home)
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1
Al Golan
30 Aug
Al Gharraf
0 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 2

Al Zawraa

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)