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Ghaz Al Shamal vs Newroz

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Ghaz Al Shamal and Newroz finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ghaz Al Shamal
35%
Draws
42%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newroz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Newroz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Newroz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ghaz Al Shamal Clean Sheet 22%
Newroz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghaz Al Shamal Newroz
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 1 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Stars League
Ghaz Al Shamal vs Newroz
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghaz Al Shamal 10 / 100
Newroz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghaz Al Shamal Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newroz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghaz Al Shamal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ghaz Al Shamal scored in 50% of their last 8 outings.

Newroz let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ghaz Al Shamal VS Newroz
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghaz Al Shamal

(Home)
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1
Al Golan
30 Aug
Al Gharraf
0 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 2

Newroz

(Away)
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)