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Ghaziabad vs Sher-e-Punjab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

I-League 3
Ghaziabad Logo

Ghaziabad

Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Sher-e-Punjab Logo

Sher-e-Punjab

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ghaziabad host Sher-e-Punjab in the I-League 3. Sher-e-Punjab go into this one as the clear favorite. Sher-e-Punjab have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Ghaziabad have conceded 2.25 and scored 0.75. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Sher-e-Punjab to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ghaziabad
25%
Draws
35%
Sher-e-Punjab
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ghaziabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sher-e-Punjab lately — more wins on the board than Ghaziabad.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Ghaziabad Clean Sheet 20%
Sher-e-Punjab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghaziabad Sher-e-Punjab
Matches Played 4 10
Wins 0 3
Draws 1 3
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghaziabad 36 / 100
Sher-e-Punjab 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghaziabad Sher-e-Punjab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sher-e-Punjab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghaziabad found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).

Ghaziabad went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ghaziabad VS Sher-e-Punjab
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghaziabad

(Home)
09 Sept
Ghaziabad
1 : 2
SAT Tirur
07 Sept
Lakecity
3 : 1
Ghaziabad
05 Sept
Sports Odisha
1 : 1
Ghaziabad
03 Sept
Diamond Harbour
3 : 0
Ghaziabad

Sher-e-Punjab

(Away)

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garhwal Heroes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Corbett 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Techtro Swades 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ghaziabad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sher-e-Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lakecity 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Kuppuraj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Chhaygaon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Godavari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Nongkseh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kickstart 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Zinc FA 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 CD Salgaocar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 R.T Boys 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 GOG FCC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 NEROCA 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 TRAU FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 KLASA 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 SSU 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)