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Ghazl El Mahallah vs Abu Qir Semad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Quaison G. In: Shehata M.
Out: Quaison G.
58'
Sub
Etman A. In: Ashraf M.
Out: Etman A.
62' Event
Hussein A.
Assist: El Gazar A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ghazl El Mahallah
30%
Draws
23%
Abu Qir Semad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ghazl El Mahallah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Abu Qir Semad lately — more wins on the board than Ghazl El Mahallah.
  • Win probability leans Ghazl El Mahallah's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Abu Qir Semad arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghazl El Mahallah, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ghazl El Mahallah Clean Sheet 68%
Abu Qir Semad Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghazl El Mahallah Abu Qir Semad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 14 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.83 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 League Cup
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Abu Qir Semad
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Division 2 A
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Abu Qir Semad
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghazl El Mahallah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Abu Qir Semad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghazl El Mahallah 59 / 100
Abu Qir Semad 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghazl El Mahallah Abu Qir Semad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghazl El Mahallah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abu Qir Semad has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Abu Qir Semad has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ghazl El Mahallah's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ghazl El Mahallah VS Abu Qir Semad
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghazl El Mahallah

(Home)
08 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 1
Abu Qir Semad
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
07 Sept
National Bank Egypt
3 : 1
Ghazl El Mahallah
01 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 0
Enppi
27 Aug
Modern Sport
2 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
Page 1 of 6

Abu Qir Semad

(Away)
08 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 1
Abu Qir Semad
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
27 Aug
Pyramids
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ZED FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Wadi Degla 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 El Gaish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Ittihad Alexandria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Zamalek 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modern Sport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pyramids 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Smouha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Qanah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
5 National Bank Egypt 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Enppi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 El Gouna 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Asyut Petroleum 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Ghazl El Mahallah 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Abu Qir Semad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Petrojet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)