Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League El-Gazel Stadium, El Mahalla El Kubra
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ghazl El Mahallah host Al Ittihad Alexandria in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al Ittihad Alexandria have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Ghazl El Mahallah have conceded 1.14 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Ghazl El Mahallah have won 2 to Al Ittihad Alexandria's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 18, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.31) point toward Al Ittihad Alexandria. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ghazl El Mahallah
20%
Draws
65%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Al Ittihad Alexandria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Ittihad Alexandria are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ghazl El Mahallah Clean Sheet 18%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghazl El Mahallah Al Ittihad Alexandria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 14 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:0
Mar 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ghazl El Mahallah
2:0
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ghazl El Mahallah
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Mar 31, 2023 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghazl El Mahallah 20 / 100
Al Ittihad Alexandria 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghazl El Mahallah Al Ittihad Alexandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Alexandria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghazl El Mahallah's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Ittihad Alexandria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ghazl El Mahallah stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ghazl El Mahallah VS Al Ittihad Alexandria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghazl El Mahallah

(Home)
08 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 1
Abu Qir Semad
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
07 Sept
National Bank Egypt
3 : 1
Ghazl El Mahallah
01 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 0
Enppi
27 Aug
Modern Sport
2 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 : 1
Wadi Degla
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
28 Aug
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 3
Ceramica Cleopatra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)