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Ghazl El Mahallah vs Ceramica Cleopatra Prediction & H2H Stats

Egypt Egypt

League Cup 2025/2026 El-Gazel Stadium, El Mahalla El Kubra
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Amoory A.
46'
Sub
Grendo M. In: Magdy A.
Out: Grendo M.
67'
Sub
Mwanga J. In: Armoosha
Out: Mwanga J.

AI Match Summary

Ghazl El Mahallah in this League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ghazl El Mahallah
15%
Draws
78%
Ceramica Cleopatra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceramica Cleopatra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ceramica Cleopatra lately — more wins on the board than Ghazl El Mahallah.
  • Ceramica Cleopatra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ceramica Cleopatra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceramica Cleopatra, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ghazl El Mahallah Clean Sheet 17%
Ceramica Cleopatra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghazl El Mahallah Ceramica Cleopatra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 13 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.79 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Premier League
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mahallah
3:2
Jan 12, 2026 League Cup
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Ceramica Cleopatra
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 League Cup
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mahallah
3:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Ceramica Cleopatra
0:1
May 14, 2023 Premier League
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mahallah
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghazl El Mahallah Compare

Top Goalscorer Magdy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ceramica Cleopatra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghazl El Mahallah 10 / 100
Ceramica Cleopatra 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghazl El Mahallah Ceramica Cleopatra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceramica Cleopatra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceramica Cleopatra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ghazl El Mahallah scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Ghazl El Mahallah stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ghazl El Mahallah VS Ceramica Cleopatra
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghazl El Mahallah

(Home)
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
07 Sept
National Bank Egypt
3 : 1
Ghazl El Mahallah
01 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 0
Enppi
27 Aug
Modern Sport
2 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
22 Aug
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 3
Pyramids
Page 1 of 6

Ceramica Cleopatra

(Away)
14 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
National Bank Egypt
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
02 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
Modern Sport
28 Aug
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 3
Ceramica Cleopatra
23 Aug
Ceramica Cleopatra
1 : 2
Al Qanah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Gaish 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Enppi 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Pharco FC 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
5 Ghazl El Mahallah 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
6 Al Ahly 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
7 Ceramica Cleopatra 6 1 0 5 2:8 3
Promotion - League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petrojet 6 5 0 1 15:5 15
2 El Gouna 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
3 Wadi Degla 6 3 1 2 12:6 10
4 National Bank Egypt 6 1 4 1 11:7 7
5 El Ismaily 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
6 Modern Sport 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
7 Pyramids 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
2 ZED FC 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
3 Al Ittihad Alexandria 6 1 5 0 5:2 8
4 Kahrabaa Ismailia 6 1 5 0 12:11 8
5 Smouha 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
6 Zamalek 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
7 Haras El Hodood 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
Promotion - League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams