Sport Picks

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Ghazl El Mahallah vs Ceramica Cleopatra

Egypt Egypt

League Cup El-Gazel Stadium, El Mahalla El Kubra
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Amoory A.
46'
Sub
Grendo M. In: Magdy A.
Out: Grendo M.
67'
Sub
Mwanga J. In: Armoosha
Out: Mwanga J.

AI Match Summary

Ghazl El Mahallah in this League Cup tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ghazl El Mahallah
39%
Draws
31%
Ceramica Cleopatra
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ceramica Cleopatra lately — more wins on the board than Ghazl El Mahallah.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ceramica Cleopatra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceramica Cleopatra, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ghazl El Mahallah Clean Sheet 68%
Ceramica Cleopatra Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghazl El Mahallah Ceramica Cleopatra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 14 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Premier League
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mahallah
3:2
Jan 12, 2026 League Cup
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Ceramica Cleopatra
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 League Cup
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mahallah
3:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Ceramica Cleopatra
0:1
May 14, 2023 Premier League
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mahallah
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghazl El Mahallah Compare

Top Goalscorer Magdy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ceramica Cleopatra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghazl El Mahallah 41 / 100
Ceramica Cleopatra 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghazl El Mahallah Ceramica Cleopatra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceramica Cleopatra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ghazl El Mahallah has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ghazl El Mahallah's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ghazl El Mahallah VS Ceramica Cleopatra
1 Goals Scored 0.71
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 57%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghazl El Mahallah

(Home)
29 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
4 : 2
Haras El Hodood
23 May
Modern Sport
0 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
18 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
13 May
ZED FC
3 : 2
Ghazl El Mahallah
07 May
El Gaish
1 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
Page 1 of 6

Ceramica Cleopatra

(Away)
20 May
Zamalek
1 : 0
Ceramica Cleopatra
05 May
Ceramica Cleopatra
1 : 1
Pyramids
01 May
Ceramica Cleopatra
0 : 1
Al Masry
22 Apr
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
11 Apr
Enppi
1 : 1
Ceramica Cleopatra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams