Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ghiviborgo vs Foligno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ghiviborgo
20%
Draws
73%
Foligno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Foligno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Foligno lately — more wins on the board than Ghiviborgo.
  • Foligno are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 20%
Foligno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghiviborgo Foligno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Foligno
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Ghiviborgo
1:1
Mar 20, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Foligno
2:3
Nov 8, 2015 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Ghiviborgo
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghiviborgo 24 / 100
Foligno 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghiviborgo Foligno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foligno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghiviborgo found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Foligno let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ghiviborgo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ghiviborgo VS Foligno
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghiviborgo

(Home)
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3
Terranuova Traiana
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 6

Foligno

(Away)
27 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
1 : 1
Foligno
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
06 Sept
Foligno
2 : 1
Lanciano FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)