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Ghriss vs Kabylie

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ghriss play Kabylie in the Algeria Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ghriss averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1 conceded. Kabylie averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Ghriss won 1, Kabylie won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 18, 2018 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Ghriss and 0.93 for Kabylie. This points to a Ghriss double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ghriss
28%
Draws
25%
Kabylie
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ghriss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Ghriss picked up more points recently compared to Kabylie.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Ghriss Clean Sheet 24%
Kabylie Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghriss Kabylie
Matches Played 11 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 0 12
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.09 1.16
Goals Conceded 1 1.16

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2018 Algeria Cup
Ghriss vs Kabylie
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghriss 47 / 100
Kabylie 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghriss Kabylie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ghriss or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ghriss attacking → ← attacking Kabylie

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghriss scored in 64% of their last 11 games.

Kabylie let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ghriss went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kabylie lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 36
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00