Sport Picks

Algeria

Algeria Cup 2015/2016

MC Alger

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ghriss play MC Alger in the Algeria Cup 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ghriss averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1 conceded. MC Alger averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. In past meetings, Ghriss won 0, MC Alger won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 5, 2016 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Ghriss and 1.30 for MC Alger. This points to a MC Alger double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Ghriss

15%

Draws

49%

MC Alger

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MC Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Ghriss picked up more points recently compared to MC Alger.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Ghriss Clean Sheet 19%

MC Alger Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ghriss	MC Alger
Matches Played	11	32
Wins	6	20
Draws	0	4
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	1.09	1.44
Goals Conceded	1	0.78

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2016 Algeria Cup

Ghriss vs MC Alger

Possession: 52% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghriss 36 / 100

MC Alger 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ghriss MC Alger

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: MC Alger or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ghriss attacking → ← attacking MC Alger

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghriss scored in 64% of their last 11 games.

MC Alger let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ghriss went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

MC Alger lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 64

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13