Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ghriss vs Thenia

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2010/2011
Fri, Dec 31, 2010
1 - 0
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ghriss play Thenia in the Algeria Cup 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ghriss averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1 conceded. Thenia averaged 0 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Ghriss won 1, Thenia won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 31, 2010 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Ghriss and 0.94 for Thenia. This points to a Thenia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ghriss
40%
Draws
30%
Thenia
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Thenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Ghriss picked up more points recently compared to Thenia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 15%
Ghriss Clean Sheet 24%
Thenia Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 41%
Second Half Goal 44%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghriss Thenia
Matches Played 11 1
Wins 6 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 1.09 0
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 31, 2010 Algeria Cup
Ghriss vs Thenia
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghriss 32 / 100
Thenia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghriss Thenia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thenia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ghriss attacking → ← attacking Thenia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghriss scored in 64% of their last 11 games.

Thenia let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Ghriss went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Thenia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 0
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00