Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gia Lai vs Nam Dinh

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Pleiku Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gia Lai play Nam Dinh in the V.League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gia Lai averaged 1 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Nam Dinh averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Gia Lai won 1, Nam Dinh won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Gia Lai and 1.06 for Nam Dinh. This points to a Nam Dinh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gia Lai
35%
Draws
37%
Nam Dinh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nam Dinh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Gia Lai picked up more points recently compared to Nam Dinh.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Gia Lai Clean Sheet 22%
Nam Dinh Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gia Lai Nam Dinh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Gia Lai
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Nam Dinh
2:2
May 18, 2025 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Gia Lai
6:1
Sep 28, 2024 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Nam Dinh
0:0
May 13, 2024 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Nam Dinh
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gia Lai Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Minh Tam
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Thanh Nhan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nam Dinh Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenner
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gia Lai 30 / 100
Nam Dinh 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gia Lai Nam Dinh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nam Dinh or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gia Lai attacking → ← attacking Nam Dinh

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gia Lai scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Nam Dinh let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Gia Lai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nam Dinh lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 46
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324