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Giana Erminio vs Alcione Milano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola, Gorgonzola
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Giana Erminio host Alcione Milano in the Serie C - Group A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Giana Erminio have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Alcione Milano's 0.97 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Giana Erminio have won 1 to Alcione Milano's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.69, favoring Alcione Milano. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Giana Erminio
35%
Draws
30%
Alcione Milano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Giana Erminio lately — more wins on the board than Alcione Milano.
  • Model gives Giana Erminio a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 13%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giana Erminio Alcione Milano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 14
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Giana Erminio
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Alcione Milano
1:1
Apr 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Giana Erminio
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Alcione Milano
0:2
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Giana Erminio vs Alcione Milano
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giana Erminio 39 / 100
Alcione Milano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giana Erminio Alcione Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giana Erminio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giana Erminio went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Giana Erminio scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Alcione Milano conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Giana Erminio VS Alcione Milano
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Giana Erminio

(Home)
19 Oct
Giana Erminio
2 : 1
Union Brescia
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2
Giana Erminio
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

Alcione Milano

(Away)
18 Oct
Alcione Milano
4 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
11 Oct
Lecco
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 10 9 0 1 17:4 27
2 Trento 10 5 5 0 15:5 20
3 Union Brescia 10 5 4 1 17:8 19
4 Ospitaletto 10 5 3 2 17:9 18
5 Arzignano 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Treviso 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
7 Alcione Milano 10 3 6 1 17:15 15
8 Pergolettese 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
9 Lecco 10 3 4 3 12:9 13
10 AlbinoLeffe 10 3 4 3 16:15 13
11 Desenzano Calvina 10 3 4 3 9:11 13
12 Lumezzane 10 3 3 4 11:14 12
13 Novara 10 2 4 4 10:14 10
14 Dolomiti Bellunesi 10 2 4 4 7:12 10
15 Juventus U23 10 2 4 4 10:16 10
16 Carpi 10 2 3 5 14:20 9
17 Pro Vercelli 10 2 3 5 8:18 9
18 Giana Erminio 10 1 5 4 10:13 8
19 Folgore Caratese 10 1 3 6 9:15 6
20 Renate 10 0 4 6 9:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)