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Giana Erminio vs Cittadella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola, Gorgonzola
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Giana Erminio host Cittadella in the Serie C - Group A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Giana Erminio at 1.17 goals for, 1.48 against; Cittadella at 1.5 for, 0.94 against. Head-to-head, Giana Erminio have won 1 to Cittadella's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.38) point toward Cittadella. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Giana Erminio
20%
Draws
48%
Cittadella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Cittadella have won more games recently than Giana Erminio.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Cittadella have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 17%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giana Erminio Cittadella
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 9 21
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Giana Erminio
0:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Cittadella
0:2
Feb 28, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Cittadella
0:1
Oct 18, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Giana Erminio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giana Erminio 31 / 100
Cittadella 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giana Erminio Cittadella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giana Erminio's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cittadella conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Giana Erminio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Giana Erminio VS Cittadella
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Giana Erminio

(Home)
31 Oct
Giana Erminio
1 : 3
Alcione Milano
25 Oct
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 2
Giana Erminio
19 Oct
Giana Erminio
2 : 1
Union Brescia
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2
Giana Erminio
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

Cittadella

(Away)
01 Nov
Cittadella
1 : 0
Treviso
28 Oct
Union Brescia
1 : 2
Cittadella
24 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 1
Cittadella
19 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 0
Arzignano
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2
Cittadella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 12 7 4 1 23:9 25
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 12 6 3 3 17:12 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 12 4 6 2 21:18 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)