Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola, Gorgonzola
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Balestrero D.
9' Event
Crespi V.
45'
Lamesta A.

AI Match Summary

Union Brescia in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Brescia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Giana Erminio
39%
Draws
30%
Union Brescia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Brescia have won more games recently than Giana Erminio.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 17%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giana Erminio Union Brescia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Giana Erminio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giana Erminio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Union Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balestrero D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giana Erminio 31 / 100
Union Brescia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giana Erminio Union Brescia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giana Erminio scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Giana Erminio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Union Brescia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Giana Erminio VS Union Brescia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Giana Erminio

(Home)
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
06 May
Lecco
2 : 1
Giana Erminio
03 May
Trento
1 : 2
Giana Erminio
25 Apr
Cittadella
0 : 2
Giana Erminio
19 Apr
Giana Erminio
2 : 0
Inter U23
Page 1 of 6

Union Brescia

(Away)
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0
Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Ascoli
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Salernitana
24 May
Salernitana
1 : 1
Union Brescia
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0
Casarano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)