Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Giana Erminio vs Vicenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola, Gorgonzola
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Stuckler D.
52' Event
Samele L.
59'
Sub
Renda F. In: Galeandro A.
Out: Renda F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Giana Erminio and Vicenza finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vicenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Giana Erminio
35%
Draws
46%
Vicenza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vicenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vicenza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Giana Erminio's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 10%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giana Erminio Vicenza
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Vicenza
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Giana Erminio
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Vicenza
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Giana Erminio
2:2
Jan 14, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Giana Erminio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giana Erminio Compare

Top Goalscorer Samele L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vicenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuckler D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leverbe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giana Erminio 34 / 100
Vicenza 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giana Erminio Vicenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Giana Erminio scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Vicenza conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Giana Erminio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giana Erminio VS Vicenza
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Giana Erminio

(Home)
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
06 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
02 Sept
Union Brescia
5 : 2
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

Vicenza

(Away)
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)