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Gibraltar vs Andorra

World World

Friendly International 2024 Europa Point Stadium, Gibraltar
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bent D.
53'
Sub
Vales M. In: Teixeira J.
Out: Vales M.
53'
Sub
Gomes A. In: San Nicolas M.
Out: Gomes A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Gibraltar and Andorra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gibraltar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gibraltar
15%
Draws
34%
Andorra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gibraltar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Andorra haven't matched Gibraltar's recent run of results.
  • Gibraltar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gibraltar here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19.2%
Gibraltar Clean Sheet 68%
Andorra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gibraltar Andorra
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 4 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.65 0.29
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2024 Friendly International
Gibraltar vs Andorra
1:0
Nov 19, 2022 Friendly International
Gibraltar vs Andorra
1:0
Jun 7, 2021 Friendly International
Andorra vs Gibraltar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gibraltar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bent D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Andorra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gibraltar 95 / 100
Andorra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gibraltar Andorra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gibraltar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andorra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Andorra registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gibraltar scored in 38% of their last 26 games.

Historical meetings average 0.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gibraltar VS Andorra
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gibraltar

(Home)
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
03 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 0
British Virgin Islands
31 Mar
Latvia
1 : 0
Gibraltar
26 Mar
Gibraltar
0 : 1
Latvia
17 Nov
Czech Republic
6 : 0
Gibraltar
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Andorra

(Away)
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
04 Jun
Andorra
2 : 0
Liechtenstein
29 May
Iraq
1 : 0
Andorra
31 Mar
San Marino
0 : 0
Andorra
27 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 0
Andorra
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