Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gibraltar vs Liechtenstein

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Europa Point Stadium, Gibraltar
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Walker L.
16'
Wieser S.
25'
Luque-Notaro F.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Gibraltar and Liechtenstein finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gibraltar
15%
Draws
28%
Liechtenstein
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gibraltar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Gibraltar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gibraltar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Gibraltar Clean Sheet 68%
Liechtenstein Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gibraltar Liechtenstein
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 24
Goals Scored 0.61 0.3
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar vs Liechtenstein
2:2
Nov 16, 2022 Friendly International
Gibraltar vs Liechtenstein
2:0
Nov 17, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar vs Liechtenstein
1:1
Oct 10, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gibraltar Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scanlon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Liechtenstein Compare

Top Goalscorer Saglam F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gibraltar 95 / 100
Liechtenstein 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gibraltar Liechtenstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gibraltar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liechtenstein conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Liechtenstein's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Gibraltar scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Gibraltar VS Liechtenstein
0.13 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gibraltar

(Home)
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
03 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 0
British Virgin Islands
31 Mar
Latvia
1 : 0
Gibraltar
26 Mar
Gibraltar
0 : 1
Latvia
17 Nov
Czech Republic
6 : 0
Gibraltar
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Liechtenstein

(Away)
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
04 Jun
Andorra
2 : 0
Liechtenstein
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Tanzania
0 : 1
Liechtenstein
18 Nov
Belgium
7 : 0
Liechtenstein
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Marino 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
2 Gibraltar 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Liechtenstein 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moldova 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
2 Malta 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Andorra 4 0 1 3 0:4 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)