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Gibraltar vs Moldova

World World

Friendly International 2024 Europa point stadium, Gibraltar
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Motpan N.
40' Event
Mudrac V.
Assist: Lungu T.
46'
Sub
Avram C. In: Kozhukhar A.
Out: Avram C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gibraltar
11%
Draws
9%
Moldova
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Gibraltar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moldova lately — more wins on the board than Gibraltar.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Gibraltar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Gibraltar Clean Sheet 68%
Moldova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gibraltar Moldova
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Gibraltar vs Moldova
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gibraltar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Moldova Compare

Top Goalscorer Mudrac V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gibraltar 86 / 100
Moldova 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gibraltar Moldova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moldova let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Moldova has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gibraltar scored in 36% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gibraltar VS Moldova
0.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gibraltar

(Home)
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
03 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 0
British Virgin Islands
31 Mar
Latvia
1 : 0
Gibraltar
26 Mar
Gibraltar
0 : 1
Latvia
17 Nov
Czech Republic
6 : 0
Gibraltar
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Moldova

(Away)
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2
Bulgaria
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
16 Nov
Israel
4 : 1
Moldova
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