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Gicumbi vs APR

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

APR in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored APR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gicumbi
15%
Draws
42%
APR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gicumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to APR lately — more wins on the board than Gicumbi.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on APR taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • APR have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gicumbi Clean Sheet 15%
APR Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gicumbi APR
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premier League
APR vs Gicumbi
2:0
Sep 18, 2025 Premier League
Gicumbi vs APR
1:2
Feb 13, 2022 Premier League
Gicumbi vs APR
0:2
Oct 31, 2021 Premier League
APR vs Gicumbi
3:1
May 9, 2020 Premier League
APR vs Gicumbi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gicumbi 23 / 100
APR 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gicumbi APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gicumbi's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

APR let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Gicumbi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gicumbi VS APR
1.57 Goals Scored 1.75
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 88%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gicumbi

(Home)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 6

APR

(Away)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)