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Gifu vs Tochigi SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field, Gifu
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ogushi S.
Assist: Mun In-Ju
17'
Sub
Fukuta A. In: Toyama R.
Out: Fukuta A.
32' Event
Kanda H.
Assist: Izumisawa J.

AI Match Summary

Gifu in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gifu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Gifu
20%
Draws
32%
Tochigi SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gifu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gifu lately — more wins on the board than Tochigi SC.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Gifu taking it.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gifu Clean Sheet 19%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gifu Tochigi SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 J3 League
Gifu vs Tochigi SC
4:1
Nov 2, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Gifu
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 J3 League
Gifu vs Tochigi SC
0:1
Sep 7, 2019 J2 League
Gifu vs Tochigi SC
0:0
Apr 28, 2019 J2 League
Tochigi SC vs Gifu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gifu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogushi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kanda H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Tochigi SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagai T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gifu 42 / 100
Tochigi SC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gifu Tochigi SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gifu's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tochigi SC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Tochigi SC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gifu VS Tochigi SC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gifu

(Home)
03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
29 Sept
Gifu
1 : 2
Yokohama FC
26 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 4
Gifu
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Gifu
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1
Gifu
Page 1 of 6

Tochigi SC

(Away)
04 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
4 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
5 FC Osaka 9 4 4 1 17:8 16
6 SC Sagamihara 9 4 3 2 15:10 15
7 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
8 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
9 Kanazawa 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 9 1 2 6 10:17 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)