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Gijon B vs EI San Martin

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Rubio B.
50' Event
Rubio B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Gijon B and EI San Martin finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gijon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gijon B
15%
Draws
46%
EI San Martin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EI San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gijon B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gijon B are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gijon B here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Gijon B Clean Sheet 20%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gijon B EI San Martin
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 22 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.31 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs EI San Martin
2:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Gijon B
0:2
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Gijon B
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs EI San Martin
3:1
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs EI San Martin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gijon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

EI San Martin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijon B 36 / 100
EI San Martin 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gijon B EI San Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gijon B found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: EI San Martin conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Gijon B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gijon B VS EI San Martin
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
1 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gijon B

(Home)
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2
Gijon B
18 Aug
Gijon B
2 : 2
Llanera
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
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EI San Martin

(Away)
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3
EI San Martin
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Gijon B
2 : 0
EI San Martin
26 Apr
EI San Martin
1 : 0
L Entregu CF
19 Apr
CD Colunga
2 : 3
EI San Martin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)