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Stadium Background

Gijon B vs Lealtad

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Gijon B and Lealtad finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gijon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gijon B
20%
Draws
23%
Lealtad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gijon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Gijon B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gijon B are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gijon B Clean Sheet 68%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gijon B Lealtad
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 22 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2.15 1
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Lealtad
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Lealtad
0:1
Jun 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Gijon B
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Gijon B
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Lealtad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijon B 68 / 100
Lealtad 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gijon B Lealtad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gijon B found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Lealtad has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Gijon B stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Lealtad's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gijon B VS Lealtad
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.83
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gijon B

(Home)
13 Sept
Gijon B
3 : 1
Llanes
06 Sept
Praviano
1 : 2
Gijon B
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2
Gijon B
18 Aug
Gijon B
2 : 2
Llanera
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Lealtad

(Away)
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2
Coruxo FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gijon B 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Covadonga 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
3 CD Mosconia 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
4 Condal 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
5 CD Colunga 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
6 Club Siero 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
7 Caudal Deportivo 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
8 Gijon Industrial 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Union Club Ceares 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 L Entregu CF 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Praviano 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
12 Lealtad 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
13 Aviles Stadium 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
14 Langreo 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
15 Llanes 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
16 Andes CF 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
17 Astur 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 EI San Martin 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)