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Gijon B vs Lealtad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2
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Match Events

54' Event
Garcia Carrasco P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Gijon B and Lealtad finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gijon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gijon B
30%
Draws
43%
Lealtad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lealtad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Gijon B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lealtad are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Gijon B Clean Sheet 20%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gijon B Lealtad
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Lealtad
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Lealtad
0:1
Jun 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Gijon B
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Gijon B
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Lealtad
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gijon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Carrasco P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lealtad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijon B 20 / 100
Lealtad 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gijon B Lealtad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lealtad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gijon B found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Lealtad has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Gijon B stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gijon B VS Lealtad
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gijon B

(Home)
31 Oct
Gijon B
0 : 2
EI San Martin
24 Oct
Club Siero
1 : 2
Gijon B
18 Oct
Gijon B
4 : 0
CD Colunga
11 Oct
Caudal Deportivo
1 : 1
Gijon B
04 Oct
Gijon B
1 : 1
Langreo
Page 1 of 7

Lealtad

(Away)
31 Oct
Lealtad
3 : 0
Club Siero
25 Oct
CD Colunga
0 : 4
Lealtad
18 Oct
Lealtad
0 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
10 Oct
Langreo
0 : 1
Lealtad
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0
Aviles Stadium
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 9 6 2 1 23:9 20
2 Gijon B 9 6 2 1 16:8 20
3 Caudal Deportivo 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
4 Lealtad 9 5 2 2 13:4 17
5 Condal 9 4 5 0 12:4 17
6 CD Mosconia 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
7 EI San Martin 9 4 3 2 13:13 15
8 Praviano 9 4 2 3 21:14 14
9 Gijon Industrial 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
10 Club Siero 9 4 0 5 11:12 12
11 CD Colunga 9 3 3 3 15:21 12
12 Langreo 9 2 3 4 8:11 9
13 Union Club Ceares 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
14 Aviles Stadium 9 2 2 5 6:13 8
15 Llanes 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
16 Astur 9 0 5 4 9:15 5
17 L Entregu CF 9 1 2 6 5:17 5
18 Andes CF 9 0 3 6 6:18 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)