Sport Picks
Gijon Industrial vs Covadonga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 
Match Events
6'
6'
Saha M.
18'
18'
Fernandez N.
78'
78'
Trabanco A.
AI Match Summary
Covadonga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Covadonga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gijon Industrial
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Covadonga have won more games recently than Gijon Industrial.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Covadonga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gijon Industrial Clean Sheet 10%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gijon Industrial | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 2.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Covadonga
0:2
Aug 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Gijon Industrial vs Covadonga
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Gijon Industrial
6:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Covadonga
1:3
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Covadonga
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gijon Industrial Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Covadonga Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Trabanco A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gijon Industrial 30 / 100
Covadonga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gijon Industrial Covadonga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Covadonga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Gijon Industrial's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Covadonga let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Gijon Industrial went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gijon Industrial VS Covadonga
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Gijon Industrial
(Home) 31 Oct
L Entregu CF
1 : 4 Gijon Industrial
25 Oct
Gijon Industrial
0 : 2 Covadonga
18 Oct
Union Club Ceares
0 : 1 Gijon Industrial
11 Oct
Gijon Industrial
2 : 2 Astur
04 Oct
Andes CF
0 : 3 Gijon Industrial
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Gijon Industrial
0 : 2 Covadonga
11 Oct
Gijon Industrial
2 : 2 Astur
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2 Condal
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0 EI San Martin
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0 Covadonga
Page 1 of 3
Covadonga
(Away) 01 Nov
Covadonga
1 : 1 Condal
29 Oct
Covadonga
0 : 1 Valladolid
25 Oct
Gijon Industrial
0 : 2 Covadonga
18 Oct
Covadonga
4 : 0 CD Mosconia
11 Oct
EI San Martin
4 : 2 Covadonga
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Gijon Industrial
0 : 2 Covadonga
11 Oct
EI San Martin
4 : 2 Covadonga
26 Sept
CD Colunga
1 : 2 Covadonga
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2 Covadonga
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0 Covadonga
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Gijon B | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Caudal Deportivo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Lealtad | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:4 | 17 |
| 5 | Condal | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 6 | CD Mosconia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 15 |
| 7 | EI San Martin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Praviano | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Gijon Industrial | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 11 | CD Colunga | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 12 | Langreo | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Union Club Ceares | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Aviles Stadium | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Llanes | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Astur | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 17 | L Entregu CF | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Andes CF | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)
