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Gijon vs Almeria Prediction & H2H Stats

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LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio El Molinón, Gijón
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Otero J.
Assist: Corredera A.
20'
Chirino D.
21' Event
Otero J.
Assist: Gelabert Pina C.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 2025/2026 game between Gijon and Almeria finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gijon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Gijon
15%
Draws
61%
Almeria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Almeria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Almeria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gijon Clean Sheet 15%
Almeria Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gijon Almeria
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.39 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 LaLiga2
Gijon vs Almeria
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Gijon
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 LaLiga2
Gijon vs Almeria
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Gijon
1:1
Apr 25, 2022 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Gijon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Otero J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vazquez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Fuente M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijon 10 / 100
Almeria 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gijon Almeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almeria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gijon's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Almeria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gijon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gijon VS Almeria
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gijon

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Oviedo
2 : 0
Gijon
19 Sept
FC Andorra
1 : 3
Gijon
13 Sept
Gijon
0 : 1
Eldense
05 Sept
Gijon
0 : 2
Girona
28 Aug
Tenerife
0 : 1
Gijon
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Almeria

(Away)
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1
Burgos CF
27 Sept
Mallorca
0 : 1
Almeria
20 Sept
Almeria
2 : 0
Celta Vigo B
12 Sept
Cordoba
0 : 2
Almeria
06 Sept
Almeria
3 : 2
Cadiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
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