Sport Picks

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Gijon vs Eldense

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio El Molinón, Gijón
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gijon host Eldense in the LaLiga2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Gijon have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Eldense's 1.53 scored and 1.26 conceded. Head-to-head, Gijon have won 3 to Eldense's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.31, favoring Gijon. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Gijon
30%
Draws
29%
Eldense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Eldense have won more games recently than Gijon.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Gijon taking it.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gijon have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gijon Clean Sheet 68%
Eldense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gijon Eldense
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 LaLiga2
Eldense vs Gijon
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 LaLiga2
Gijon vs Eldense
0:0
Jun 2, 2024 LaLiga2
Eldense vs Gijon
0:1
Nov 27, 2023 LaLiga2
Gijon vs Eldense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gijon 68 / 100
Eldense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gijon Eldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gijon scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Eldense conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gijon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gijon VS Eldense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gijon

(Home)
05 Sept
Gijon
0 : 2
Girona
28 Aug
Tenerife
0 : 1
Gijon
23 Aug
Gijon
1 : 0
Burgos CF
17 Aug
Gijon
0 : 0
Sabadell
08 Aug
Gijon
2 : 4
Valladolid
Page 1 of 6

Eldense

(Away)
05 Sept
Eldense
0 : 0
Mallorca
29 Aug
Leganes
1 : 0
Eldense
22 Aug
Eldense
2 : 2
Cadiz
17 Aug
Almeria
3 : 0
Eldense
11 Aug
Eldense
3 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Eibar 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
3 Burgos CF 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
4 Sabadell 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
5 Leganes 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
6 Girona 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
7 Celta Vigo B 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
8 Mallorca 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
9 Tenerife 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
10 Granada CF 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
11 Las Palmas 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
12 Gijon 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
13 Almeria 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
14 Real Sociedad B 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
15 Real Oviedo 4 1 2 1 1:1 5
16 Valladolid 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
17 FC Andorra 4 1 0 3 7:7 3
18 Cadiz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
19 Cordoba 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
20 Eldense 4 0 2 2 2:6 2
21 Albacete 4 0 0 4 2:7 0
22 AD Ceuta 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)