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Gil Vicente U19 vs Leiria U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gil Vicente U19 play Leiria U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gil Vicente U19 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Leiria U19 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Gil Vicente U19 won 1, Leiria U19 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Gil Vicente U19 and 1.69 for Leiria U19. This points to a Leiria U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Gil Vicente U19
29%
Draws
39%
Leiria U19
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Leiria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Gil Vicente U19 picked up more points recently compared to Leiria U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Gil Vicente U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gil Vicente U19 Leiria U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
6:0
Mar 21, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs Leiria U19
2:2
Apr 18, 2015 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Gil Vicente U19
4:4
Feb 28, 2015 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gil Vicente U19 vs Leiria U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gil Vicente U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Leiria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gil Vicente U19 31 / 100
Leiria U19 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gil Vicente U19 Leiria U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Leiria U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gil Vicente U19 attacking → ← attacking Leiria U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gil Vicente U19 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Leiria U19 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Gil Vicente U19 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Leiria U19 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 44
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00