Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gil Vicente U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gil Vicente U23 play Estrela da Amadora U23 in the Liga Revelacao U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gil Vicente U23 averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Estrela da Amadora U23 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Gil Vicente U23 won 2, Estrela da Amadora U23 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 14, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Gil Vicente U23 and 0.75 for Estrela da Amadora U23. This points to a Gil Vicente U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Gil Vicente U23
28%
Draws
24%
Estrela da Amadora U23
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gil Vicente U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Gil Vicente U23 picked up more points recently compared to Estrela da Amadora U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Gil Vicente U23 Clean Sheet 27%
Estrela da Amadora U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gil Vicente U23 Estrela da Amadora U23
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.85 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Liga Revelacao U23
Gil Vicente U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
1:0
Feb 3, 2026 Liga Revelacao U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
0:2
Feb 11, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Gil Vicente U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
0:1
Feb 27, 2024 Liga Revelacao U23
Gil Vicente U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gil Vicente U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soyer B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Estrela da Amadora U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gil Vicente U23 49 / 100
Estrela da Amadora U23 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gil Vicente U23 Estrela da Amadora U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gil Vicente U23 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gil Vicente U23 attacking → ← attacking Estrela da Amadora U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gil Vicente U23 scored in 97% of their last 33 games.

Estrela da Amadora U23 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Gil Vicente U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Estrela da Amadora U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 32
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gil Vicente U2316121335:2137
2Rio Ave U2316110525:1633
3SC Farense U231683522:1727
4Estoril U231674521:1825
5Estrela da Amadora U231654718:1619
6Leiria U231653824:2618
7Vizela U231653820:3118
8Maritimo U231652917:2517
9Portimonense U2316321121:3311