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Gil Vicente vs FC Porto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gil Vicente host FC Porto in the Liga Portugal. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. FC Porto have shipped 0.76 goals a game lately, while Gil Vicente have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.32. Past meetings favor FC Porto slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.56 - 1.31) back FC Porto to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Gil Vicente
20%
Draws
56%
FC Porto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Porto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Porto's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 18%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gil Vicente FC Porto
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 10 23
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.32 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Gil Vicente vs FC Porto
1:0
Jan 26, 2026 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Gil Vicente
3:0
Aug 18, 2025 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs FC Porto
0:2
Jan 19, 2025 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs FC Porto
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Gil Vicente
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gil Vicente 15 / 100
FC Porto 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gil Vicente FC Porto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gil Vicente scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gil Vicente stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

FC Porto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gil Vicente VS FC Porto
0.63 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gil Vicente

(Home)
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1
Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1
Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0
Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0
Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6

FC Porto

(Away)
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1
Benfica
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4
FC Porto
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2
Manchester City
04 Sept
FC Porto
2 : 1
Moreirense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto 7 7 0 0 18:3 21
2 Benfica 7 5 1 1 22:7 16
3 Sporting CP 7 4 3 0 17:8 15
4 Santa Clara 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
5 Arouca 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
6 Braga 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
7 Academico Viseu 7 3 2 2 9:9 11
8 Estrela da Amadora 7 2 4 1 14:14 10
9 Gil Vicente 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
10 Alverca 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
11 Maritimo 7 2 2 3 8:12 8
12 Moreirense 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
13 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 9:7 7
14 Vitoria Guimaraes 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
15 Nacional 7 1 1 5 7:15 4
16 Rio Ave 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
17 Casa Pia 7 1 1 5 3:16 4
18 Estoril 7 0 2 5 3:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)