Sport Picks
Gil Vicente vs Maritimo
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos 
Match Events
7'
7'
Murilo de Souza
Assist: Pinto Martins G.
46'
46'
Sub
Danilovic V. In: Nilton
Out: Danilovic V.
54'
54'
Garcia S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal game between Gil Vicente and Maritimo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gil Vicente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Maritimo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Gil Vicente's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 68%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gil Vicente | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Maritimo
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Maritimo
2:0
Sep 11, 2022 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Gil Vicente
1:2
Mar 20, 2022 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Maritimo
1:1
Oct 31, 2021 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Gil Vicente
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gil Vicente Compare
Top Goalscorer Murilo de Souza
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Maritimo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ayuma I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gil Vicente 68 / 100
Maritimo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gil Vicente Maritimo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gil Vicente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Gil Vicente scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Maritimo conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Gil Vicente went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gil Vicente VS Maritimo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gil Vicente
(Home) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
09 Aug
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 Rio Ave
25 Jul
Gil Vicente
2 : 2 Moreirense
Page 1 of 4
Maritimo
(Away) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1 Maritimo
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1 Maritimo
16 Aug
Famalicao
1 : 2 Maritimo
09 May
Penafiel
1 : 0 Maritimo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
