Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gillingham U18 vs Sunderland U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Youth Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Beattie K.
59' Event
Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
80' Event
Robertson J.

AI Match Summary

Sunderland U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gillingham U18
15%
Draws
85%
Sunderland U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sunderland U18 have won more games recently than Gillingham U18.
  • Sunderland U18 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Sunderland U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sunderland U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Gillingham U18 Clean Sheet 12%
Sunderland U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham U18 Sunderland U18
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 0 14
Draws 0 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 0.5 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2024 FA Youth Cup
Gillingham U18 vs Sunderland U18
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Sunderland U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Beattie K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham U18 27 / 100
Sunderland U18 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham U18 Sunderland U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland U18 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gillingham U18's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Away concern: Sunderland U18 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sunderland U18
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham U18

(Home)
23 Jan
Gillingham U18
0 : 3
Sunderland U18
18 Jan
Gillingham U18
1 : 2
Preston U18
11 Jan
Gillingham U18
1 : 2
Ipswich U18
06 Jan
Sheffield Wed U18
3 : 0
Gillingham U18

Sunderland U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Sunderland U18
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd U18
12 Sept
Manchester City U18
4 : 1
Sunderland U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Sunderland U18
09 May
Sunderland U18
1 : 0
Wolves U18
05 May
Sunderland U18
4 : 0
Everton U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
West Ham U18 0
Manchester City U18 2
Sheffield Wed U18 0
Reading U18 4
Burton U18 1
Tottenham U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Bournemouth U18 5
Bristol City U18 1
Charlton U18 0
QPR U18 0
Burnley U18 2
Gillingham U18 0
Sunderland U18 3
Swindon U18 2
Manchester United U18 0
Sheffield Utd U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 0
Brighton U18 0
Leeds U18 4
Liverpool U18 7
Arsenal U18 1
Swansea U18 0
Fulham U18 5
Coventry U18 4
Barnsley U18 2
Grimsby U18 1
Millwall U18 4
Hull U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 5
Everton U18 0
Chelsea U18 2
1/8-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Reading U18 1
Tottenham U18 6
Bournemouth U18 2
Bristol City U18 3
Burnley U18 0
Sunderland U18 1
Swindon U18 2
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Leeds U18 2
Liverpool U18 3
Fulham U18 0
Coventry U18 0
Millwall U18 3
Crystal Palace U18 1
Chelsea U18 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Tottenham U18 1
Bristol City U18 1
Swindon U18 0
Leeds U18 3
Liverpool U18 1
Millwall U18 2
Chelsea U18 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 1
Bristol City U18 0
Leeds U18 4
Millwall U18 3
Final
Manchester City U18 4
Leeds U18 0