Sport Picks
Gillingham vs Accrington
England
League Two 2025/2026 Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 
Match Events
11'
11'
Hale R.
11'
11'
Wright O.
24'
24'
Khumbeni N.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Gillingham and Accrington finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gillingham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gillingham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gillingham come out ahead of Accrington on wins alone.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Gillingham taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 68%
Accrington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gillingham | Accrington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Accrington
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 League Two
Accrington vs Gillingham
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 League Two
Accrington vs Gillingham
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 League Two
Gillingham vs Accrington
1:2
Jan 13, 2024 League Two
Accrington vs Gillingham
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gillingham Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith A.
1 Goals Assists Leader McCleary G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Accrington Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham 77 / 100
Accrington 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham Accrington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gillingham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gillingham went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Gillingham's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Accrington let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Gillingham VS Accrington
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gillingham
(Home) 12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4 Gillingham
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Gillingham
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1 Northampton
22 Aug
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 Gillingham
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1 Northampton
15 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Walsall
08 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Luton
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
Page 1 of 3
Accrington
(Away) 12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1 Accrington
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
29 Aug
Walsall
3 : 2 Accrington
22 Aug
Exeter
2 : 0 Accrington
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1 Accrington
29 Aug
Walsall
3 : 2 Accrington
22 Aug
Exeter
2 : 0 Accrington
08 Aug
Crewe
2 : 1 Accrington
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3 Accrington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
