Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gillingham vs Cambridge Utd

England England

EFL Trophy Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Bradshaw Z.
Assist: McConnell G.
31' Event
Dayal L.
Assist: Luxton M.
34' Event
Mpanzu P.
Assist: Knight B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gillingham
30%
Draws
37%
Cambridge Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cambridge Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cambridge Utd lately — more wins on the board than Gillingham.
  • Model gives Gillingham a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Cambridge Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cambridge Utd, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 17%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham Cambridge Utd
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy
Gillingham vs Cambridge Utd
1:4
Mar 14, 2026 League Two
Cambridge Utd vs Gillingham
5:0
Dec 26, 2025 League Two
Gillingham vs Cambridge Utd
1:1
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Cambridge Utd
0:0
Feb 8, 2022 League One
Gillingham vs Cambridge Utd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Dayal L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cambridge Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradshaw Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mpanzu P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham 41 / 100
Cambridge Utd 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham Cambridge Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gillingham's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cambridge Utd conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Gillingham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham VS Cambridge Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

(Home)
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4
Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0
Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0
Tranmere
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4
Gillingham
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1
Gillingham
Page 1 of 6

Cambridge Utd

(Away)
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4
Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1
Reading
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Cambridge Utd
01 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 2
Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Accrington 1 1 0 0 3:3 2
3 Sunderland U21 1 0 0 1 3:3 1
4 Salford 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
2 Bradford City 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
3 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 6:3 3
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Burton 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leeds U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Oldham 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
4 Fleetwood Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Liverpool U21 1 1 0 0 3:3 2
3 Rochdale 1 0 0 1 3:3 1
4 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
2 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
3 Oxford Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tottenham U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leicester 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
3 Walsall 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
4 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 2 1 0 1 3:2 4
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Chelsea U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luton 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Peterborough 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Colchester 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Ipswich U21 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Newport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
4 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Northampton 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Brentford U21 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Bromley 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)